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Premier League

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Notable away value on Betfair

Published on August 29, 2026 at 10:03 AM · 20 d ago · Kick-off : Aug 29, 01:30 PM

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

Liverpool hosts Nottingham Forest in a tightly packed market, with bookmakers showing comparable margins (92–99%). Betfair and Matchbook stand out by offering the best away price (7.20), providing notable +5.0% potential value versus Pinnacle's fair odd.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.1.484.826.6396.7%
Betfair1.495.107.2099.4%
Matchbook1.495.107.2099.4%
1xBet1.504.986.6698.3%
Coolbet1.475.007.1097.9%
Unibet (SE)1.455.107.0097.2%
Marathon Bet1.484.906.5596.9%
BetOnline.ag1.474.926.7096.8%
BetAnything1.474.926.7096.8%
Unibet (NL)1.445.107.0096.8%
Betclic (FR)1.474.806.2595.4%
GTbets1.504.576.1195.3%
Codere (IT)1.464.906.2095.2%
Everygame1.454.756.5094.9%
Betsson1.464.506.8094.9%
Nordic Bet1.464.506.8094.9%
LeoVegas (SE)1.424.906.7594.7%
Tipico1.425.006.5094.5%
MyBookie.ag1.454.806.0093.9%
Winamax (DE)1.455.005.7093.9%
Unibet (FR)1.454.706.0093.5%
PMU (FR)1.414.756.5093.2%
Winamax (FR)1.444.905.6092.8%
William Hill1.444.506.0092.3%
888sport1.444.406.0091.9%
Best odds1.505.107.2099.8%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)1.534.986.86

Best value bet

Nottingham Forest (win)at Betfair

7.20+5.0% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Liverpool

65%

X

20%

Nottingham Forest

15%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

BetfairNottingham Forest+5.0%
MatchbookNottingham Forest+5.0%
CoolbetNottingham Forest+3.6%
BetfairX+2.3%
MatchbookX+2.3%
Unibet (NL)X+2.3%
Unibet (SE)X+2.3%
Unibet (NL)Nottingham Forest+2.1%

Market structure. The optimal TRJ reaches 99.8% by combining best odds (1.50 Liverpool, 5.10 draw, 7.20 Nottingham), revealing a very tight and efficient market. Individual TRJs range from 91.9% (888sport) to 99.4% (Betfair, Matchbook), reflecting minor but structural margin differences across operators.

Value on Nottingham Forest. Betfair and Matchbook offer 7.20 on the away side, exceeding Pinnacle's fair odd (6.86) by +5.0%—notable value. Coolbet adds 7.10 (+3.6%), still above reference. Most other books display 6.00–6.80, signalling genuine over-pricing by these two specialists.

Secondary signals. The draw shows marginal +2.3% value at Betfair, Matchbook, and Unibet (NL), all at 5.10 vs 4.98 fair. Liverpool home shows no structural value (capped at 1.50 vs 1.53 fair), reflecting tight market consensus.

Strategic recommendation. Clearest value lies on Nottingham Forest at Betfair or Matchbook (7.20, +5.0%). Before finalizing, use CalculaBet's Value Bet calculator to validate TRJ in your personal history. Odds shift fast in Premier League; verify just before kick-off. To arbitrage or optimize multi-issue allocation, the TRJ calculator will confirm long-term theoretical return.

Check for yourself

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.