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Coupe du Monde

Algeria vs Austria: odds analysis and potential value on the draw

Published on June 27, 2026 at 10:03 AM · 8 d ago · Kick-off : Jun 28, 04:00 AM

Algeria vs Austria

The Algeria–Austria World Cup 2026 match shows notable odds scatter across the market. With optimal TRJ reaching 100% and a Pinnacle fair odd of 2.20 on the draw, the market reveals moderate value opportunities, particularly on that outcome. Analysis of best odds and arbitrage strategies.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.4.182.103.0395.7%
Betfair4.402.203.0599.0%
Matchbook4.402.203.0599.0%
1xBet4.282.233.0198.6%
Coolbet4.352.153.0597.8%
BetOnline.ag4.272.153.0297.0%
BetAnything4.272.153.0297.0%
Unibet (NL)4.202.173.0096.9%
Unibet (SE)4.202.173.0096.9%
Betsson4.002.252.9296.4%
Nordic Bet4.002.252.9296.4%
Marathon Bet4.152.162.9295.6%
Codere (IT)3.902.242.9095.5%
Everygame4.102.152.9595.4%
LeoVegas (SE)4.102.142.9595.2%
Tipico4.302.152.8094.8%
Winamax (DE)3.902.202.9094.7%
Betclic (FR)4.002.103.0094.4%
GTbets3.862.222.8594.3%
MyBookie.ag3.672.252.9194.3%
Unibet (FR)3.902.103.0093.8%
PMU (FR)4.002.102.8893.2%
Winamax (FR)3.852.152.8593.0%
888sport3.752.202.8092.7%
William Hill3.752.202.8092.7%
Best odds4.402.253.05100.0%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)4.372.203.17

Best value bet

drawat MyBookie.ag

2.25+2.5% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Algeria

23%

X

46%

Austria

32%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

MyBookie.agX+2.5%
BetssonX+2.5%
Nordic BetX+2.5%
Codere (IT)X+2.0%
1xBetX+1.6%
GTbetsX+1.1%

Market fragmentation and optimal TRJ at 100%. The most generous draw odds stand at 2.25 (MyBookie.ag, Betsson, Nordic Bet), while Pinnacle's fair odd is 2.20. This 5-cent difference, relative to fair odds, represents moderate value of +2.5%. On Algeria, the best price reaches 4.40 (Betfair, Matchbook) versus a fair of 4.37: minimal gain of +0.7%. On Austria, Coolbet offers 3.05 against a fair of 3.17, meaning under-odds. The optimal TRJ of 100.0% indicates that cumulative best odds (1 at 4.40, Draw at 2.25, 2 at 3.05) exactly restore market probability after vig removal.

Value opportunities: the draw in focus. Six bookmakers signal value on the draw, all concentrated between +1.1% and +2.5%. MyBookie.ag, Betsson, and Nordic Bet lead at 2.25 (value +2.5%), followed by Codere (IT) at 2.24 (+2.0%) and 1xBet at 2.23 (+1.6%). This consistency on one outcome suggests market consensus: the draw is slightly under-quoted versus Pinnacle fair. GTbets adds 2.22 (+1.1%), lighter but present. Conversely, no value signal on Algeria (max gap 0.7%) and generalized over-odds on Austria.

TRJ scatter and bookmaker profile. TRJ ranges from 92.7% (888sport, William Hill) to 99.0% (Betfair, Matchbook), a 6.3-point spread. Winamax, a leading French operator, shows 93.0%, among the tightest. Pinnacle stays at reference (95.7%), recognizable by fine margin and liquidity. High-TRJ platforms (Betfair 99.0%, 1xBet 98.6%, Coolbet 97.8%) offer individual odds more generously, at the cost of higher cumulative margin.

Calculator use: value bet and surebet. To identify value bets, use the Value Bet calculator comparing offered odds (e.g., 2.25 on draw) to Pinnacle fair (2.20). A +2.5% value warrants moderate exposure, never exceeding bankroll criteria. The TRJ calculator validates best-combo builds. While optimal TRJ hits 100%, odds move constantly: any surebet config (TRJ > 100%) spotted must be live-checked before execution, as markets re-equilibrate fast. No opportunity is guaranteed.

Check for yourself

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.