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Belgium vs Senegal (World Cup): odds analysis and value opportunities

Published on July 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM · 4 d ago · Kick-off : Jul 1, 10:00 PM

Belgium vs Senegal

Belgium face Senegal in the 2026 World Cup group stage. Odds vary slightly across bookmakers, with Pinnacle as the reference for identifying best value. Optimal ROI reaches 100.9%, signalling a marginal surebet opportunity to verify in real time, while several books offer interesting odds on the draw and Senegal's victory.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.2.223.333.6997.9%
Matchbook2.203.353.9099.1%
Betfair2.203.353.9099.1%
1xBet2.213.523.5898.4%
Unibet (SE)2.203.353.7097.7%
Unibet (NL)2.203.353.7097.7%
Marathon Bet2.193.483.5497.4%
BetOnline.ag2.183.333.6997.1%
BetAnything2.183.333.6997.1%
Betsson2.123.403.7596.8%
Nordic Bet2.123.403.7596.8%
Unibet (FR)2.203.403.5096.7%
Betclic (FR)2.203.403.5096.7%
PMU (FR)2.123.353.7096.1%
Tipico2.103.403.6095.4%
Codere (IT)2.153.303.5595.3%
GTbets2.203.253.4795.2%
Everygame2.153.253.6095.2%
LeoVegas (SE)2.153.253.5594.8%
Winamax (DE)2.153.353.4094.5%
MyBookie.ag2.133.263.5594.5%
Winamax (FR)2.103.303.3592.8%
William Hill2.103.253.4092.8%
888sport2.053.203.4091.4%
Best odds2.223.523.90100.9%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)2.273.403.77

Best value bet

drawat 1xBet

3.52+3.5% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Belgium

44%

X

29%

Senegal

27%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

1xBetX+3.5%
MatchbookSenegal+3.4%
BetfairSenegal+3.4%
Marathon BetX+2.3%

Bookmaker profile. Pinnacle shows the tightest ROI at 97.9%, confirming its reference role without margin. Traditional bookmakers (PMU, Unibet, Betclic, Winamax FR) range from 92.8% to 97.7%, while Matchbook and Betfair offer ROI at 99.1%, among the most competitive on the market.

Moderate value signals. Three opportunities stand out. On the draw, 1xBet offers a cote of 3.52 against Pinnacle's fair odd of 3.40, representing potential value of +3.5%. Matchbook and Betfair both offer 3.90 on Senegal's victory versus a reference of 3.77, equalling +3.4% value. Marathon Bet completes the picture at 3.48 on the draw (+2.3%). These gaps are moderate but documented: none exceed 5%.

Surebet opportunity to verify. Optimal ROI reaches 100.9% by combining the three best cotes (Pinnacle on Belgium at 2.22, 1xBet on draw at 3.52, Matchbook on Senegal at 3.90). This spread reflects minor market inefficiency, but cotes move fast: this configuration must be verified in real time before action. CalculaBet's surebet calculator will allow you to test the balance live.

Recommendation. Belgium's victory shows the tightest cotes (2.10 to 2.22) with little value margin. The draw and Senegal's victory present wider spreads. Bettors seeking value will find cotes above Pinnacle on both issues, particularly via 1xBet (draw) and Matchbook/Betfair (Senegal). CalculaBet's Value Bet and ROI tools will validate your choice based on available cotes at betting time.

Check for yourself

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.