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Premier League

Brentford vs Sunderland: Notable value on the away side in Premier League

Published on September 5, 2026 at 10:01 AM · 13 d ago · Kick-off : Sep 5, 04:00 PM

Brentford vs Sunderland

Brentford hosts Sunderland in the Premier League on 5 September 2026. Odds analysis reveals notable dispersion on the away outcome, with significant gaps between bookmakers. Pinnacle, the market reference, shows a fair odd of 5.08 for Sunderland.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.1.753.874.9296.8%
Betfair1.783.955.3099.6%
Matchbook1.783.955.3099.6%
1xBet1.783.984.9798.6%
Coolbet1.753.955.1098.0%
Unibet (SE)1.674.005.7597.8%
Unibet (NL)1.674.005.7597.8%
Marathon Bet1.753.924.9097.0%
BetOnline.ag1.743.884.9096.5%
BetAnything1.743.884.9096.5%
Betclic (FR)1.713.904.8095.3%
Codere (IT)1.753.754.7095.2%
Betsson1.753.654.8094.9%
Nordic Bet1.753.654.8094.9%
Everygame1.733.754.7594.8%
LeoVegas (SE)1.633.855.4094.5%
MyBookie.ag1.743.754.6094.5%
Tipico1.673.904.9094.4%
GTbets1.683.934.7194.2%
William Hill1.733.704.6093.8%
PMU (FR)1.623.805.3093.5%
Winamax (DE)1.703.854.5093.4%
Unibet (FR)1.683.804.7093.4%
888sport1.733.604.6093.2%
Winamax (FR)1.703.804.4092.7%
Best odds1.784.005.75101.5%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)1.814.005.08—

★ Best value bet

Sunderland (win) — at Unibet (SE)

5.75+13.1% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Brentford

55%

X

25%

Sunderland

20%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

Unibet (SE) — Sunderland+13.1%
Unibet (NL) — Sunderland+13.1%
LeoVegas (SE) — Sunderland+6.2%
Betfair — Sunderland+4.3%
PMU (FR) — Sunderland+4.3%
Matchbook — Sunderland+4.3%

Bookmaker Analysis and TRJ
Most books show TRJ between 92.7% and 97%, indicating active competition. Betfair and Matchbook sit slightly above at 99.6%, while 1xBet reaches 98.6%. These gaps reflect different commercial margins but remain within normal bounds. Coolbet (98.0%), Unibet (SE and NL, 97.8%) and Marathon Bet (97.0%) maintain some generosity.

Value on Sunderland: Main Signal
Unibet Sweden and Netherlands offer 5.75 for Sunderland against Pinnacle's fair odd of 5.08. This gap represents potential value of +13.1%, classified as notable. LeoVegas (Sweden) offers 5.40 (+6.2%), while Betfair, PMU and Matchbook offer 5.30 (+4.3% each). These three show moderate but consistent value.

Surebet Opportunity Detected
Optimal TRJ reaches 101.4% by combining best odds per outcome: 1.78 (Brentford win on Betfair), 4.00 (draw on Unibet SE), 5.75 (Sunderland on Unibet SE/NL). This 100%+ breach signals potential surebet opportunity. To verify live, as odds shift constantly.

Recommendations
For pure value on Sunderland, Unibet (SE/NL) at 5.75 offers optimal return. A bettor tolerating high odds may explore LeoVegas (5.40). CalculaBet calculators (Value Bet for precise comparison, Surebet for arbitrage validation) will help balance pure value against outsider risk. Confirm odds before placing.

Check for yourself

Refine the analysis with our calculators:

Value Bet →TRJ →Surebet →

Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.