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France vs Iraq (World Cup): Odds analysis and value opportunities

Published on June 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM · 1 d ago · Kick-off : Jun 22, 11:00 PM

France vs Iraq

The odds quoted on this World Cup match reveal significant gaps between bookmakers, particularly on the outsider odds. With an optimal TRJ exceeding 100%, this encounter presents an atypical configuration warranting detailed analysis of opportunities.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.1.0813.0034.0096.9%
Betfair1.1014.5042.0099.8%
Matchbook1.1014.5042.0099.8%
1xBet1.0913.5039.0098.3%
Coolbet1.0913.0034.0097.7%
Marathon Bet1.0813.0038.0097.2%
Betsson1.1110.0032.0096.9%
BetOnline.ag1.0812.7535.0096.8%
Unibet (NL)1.0714.0036.0096.7%
Unibet (SE)1.0714.0036.0096.7%
Unibet (FR)1.0713.0035.0096.2%
LeoVegas (SE)1.0713.0034.0096.1%
Nordic Bet1.1010.0031.0096.0%
Betclic (FR)1.0713.0033.0096.0%
Winamax (DE)1.0714.5026.0096.0%
Codere (IT)1.0712.0035.0095.6%
Everygame1.0712.0029.0095.0%
William Hill1.0711.0034.0094.8%
Tipico1.0614.0025.0094.8%
MyBookie.ag1.0711.0032.0094.6%
Winamax (FR)1.0613.5025.0094.6%
BetAnything1.0612.0031.0094.4%
GTbets1.0611.7430.5694.2%
888sport1.0611.0034.0094.0%
PMU (FR)1.0512.0031.0093.6%
Best odds1.1114.5042.00100.6%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)1.1113.4235.10

Best value bet

Iraq (win)at Betfair

42.00+19.7% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

France

90%

X

8%

Iraq

3%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

BetfairIraq+19.7%
MatchbookIraq+19.7%
1xBetIraq+11.1%
Marathon BetIraq+8.3%
BetfairX+8.1%
Winamax (DE)X+8.1%
MatchbookX+8.1%
Unibet (NL)X+4.3%

TRJ hierarchy and bookmaker efficiency. Betfair and Matchbook display the highest TRJ at 99.8%, followed by 1xBet at 98.3%, while PMU and 888sport offer the tightest TRJ at 93.6% and 94.0%. This variance of over 5 percentage points reveals significant differences in commercial efficiency. Betfair, despite maximum TRJ, remains competitive through extreme odds.

Value on Iraq: major signal. Betfair and Matchbook quote 42.00 on an Iraq victory versus Pinnacle's fair odd of 35.10. This gap of +19.7% represents notable value. 1xBet (39.00, +11.1%) and Marathon Bet (38.00, +8.3%) also offer value, though less significant. Conversely, PMU (31.00) and GTbets (30.56) clearly undervalue this outcome.

Draw and France victory. On the draw, Betfair and Winamax (DE) quote 14.50 versus 13.42 fair odd (+8.1%), moderate value. A France victory, with a fair odd of 1.11, presents virtually no value across the market: Betsson offers 1.11 (equal to fair odd), while PMU caps at 1.05, reflecting little strategic divergence.

Surebet opportunity to verify. The optimal TRJ of 100.6% (combining Betsson 1 at 1.11, Betfair draw at 14.50, Betfair 2 at 42.00) theoretically signals a surebet. Verify live: odds move constantly and this calculation assumes simultaneous stakes at all three outcomes at listed odds. Use the CalculaBet Surebet calculator to confirm this opportunity in real time.

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.