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Premier League

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Marginal values on wins, surebet to verify

Published on September 5, 2026 at 10:02 AM · 13 d ago · Kick-off : Sep 5, 04:00 PM

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Fulham host Crystal Palace on September 5, 2026 in a Premier League clash. With 25 bookmakers analyzed, odds range from 2.05 to 2.28 on Fulham, 3.10 to 3.47 for a draw, and 3.20 to 3.85 on Crystal Palace. TRJs span from 91.5% to 99.6%, revealing notable spread. A surebet opportunity emerges at 101.4% optimal TRJ.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.2.183.353.6997.3%
Betfair2.223.403.8599.6%
Matchbook2.223.403.8599.6%
1xBet2.223.463.6498.6%
Coolbet2.253.473.4798.0%
Unibet (SE)2.283.453.3597.4%
Unibet (NL)2.283.453.3597.4%
Marathon Bet2.183.383.6096.9%
BetOnline.ag2.183.353.6196.7%
BetAnything2.183.353.6196.7%
GTbets2.173.413.4595.8%
Codere (IT)2.163.353.4595.1%
Betclic (FR)2.133.403.4795.1%
Everygame2.153.303.5094.9%
Betsson2.153.253.5594.8%
Nordic Bet2.153.253.5594.8%
LeoVegas (SE)2.233.353.2594.8%
Tipico2.103.303.6094.6%
MyBookie.ag2.143.343.4094.3%
William Hill2.153.203.5094.0%
Winamax (DE)2.103.403.3593.6%
PMU (FR)2.203.303.2093.5%
Winamax (FR)2.103.403.3093.2%
Unibet (FR)2.053.403.4092.9%
888sport2.103.103.4091.5%
Best odds2.283.473.85101.4%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)2.243.443.79

Best value bet

Fulham (win)at Unibet (SE)

2.28+1.7% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Fulham

45%

X

29%

Crystal Palace

26%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

Unibet (SE)Fulham+1.7%
Unibet (NL)Fulham+1.7%
BetfairCrystal Palace+1.5%
MatchbookCrystal Palace+1.5%

Overall configuration. This match displays an unusually wide spread of odds across bookmakers. Pinnacle, the market reference, sets fair odds at 2.24 (Fulham), 3.44 (draw) and 3.79 (Crystal Palace), corresponding to a 97.3% TRJ. Other books' TRJs range from 91.5% (888sport) to 99.6% (Betfair and Matchbook), signaling significant adjustment gaps.

Value identified on wins. Two moderate value signals emerge: Unibet (SE) and Unibet (NL) offer 2.28 on Fulham, representing +1.7% versus Pinnacle's fair odd (2.24). On the other side, Betfair and Matchbook display 3.85 on Crystal Palace versus a fair odd of 3.79, equating to +1.5% value. These margins remain slightly above market noise but warrant attention for bettors seeking long-term profitability. No notable value stands out on the draw; the best odds (3.47 at Coolbet) fall below Pinnacle's benchmark (3.44).

TRJ spread and optimal rate. The cumulative optimal TRJ (taking best odds per outcome) reaches 101.4%, exceeding the 100% threshold. This suggests a potential surebet opportunity combining 2.28 (Unibet SE, Fulham), 3.47 (Coolbet, draw) and 3.85 (Betfair/Matchbook, Crystal Palace). To verify in real-time: odds shift rapidly, and this window may have narrowed or closed by betting time. On raw TRJ, Betfair and Matchbook (99.6%) remain the most generous overall.

Practical recommendations. For pure value, favor Unibet (SE/NL) on Fulham or Betfair/Matchbook on Crystal Palace based on your conviction. The margins (+1.5% to +1.7%) are marginal but repeatable. To explore the potential surebet, use CalculaBet's TRJ calculator to verify in real-time whether the 101.4% configuration holds, then stack all three outcomes at their respective best odds. Finally, check your local TRJ: 888sport (91.5%) should be avoided if an alternative offers identical odds at lower margin.

Check for yourself

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.