← All analyses
Coupe du Monde

Germany vs Ivory Coast: Notable value on the away win, surebet to verify

Published on June 19, 2026 at 08:32 PM · 20 h ago · Kick-off : Jun 20, 10:00 PM

Germany vs Ivory Coast

The Germany vs Ivory Coast World Cup 2026 matchup reveals a markedly asymmetric odds structure: bookmakers price a substantial premium on a German win, while the Ivorian underdogs benefit from remarkable spread. The optimal TRJ exceeding 100% invites close scrutiny of the best odds on each outcome.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.1.544.765.5896.3%
Betfair1.584.806.2099.8%
Matchbook1.584.806.0099.2%
1xBet1.574.676.0598.4%
Unibet (NL)1.534.706.5098.0%
Unibet (SE)1.534.706.5098.0%
Coolbet1.554.706.0597.7%
Betsson1.554.455.9596.3%
Nordic Bet1.554.455.9596.3%
BetOnline.ag1.534.566.0096.2%
Winamax (DE)1.544.705.5095.8%
Codere (IT)1.544.505.6095.2%
Unibet (FR)1.514.705.7095.2%
Tipico1.524.605.7095.2%
Betclic (FR)1.524.655.6095.1%
BetAnything1.534.655.4595.0%
LeoVegas (SE)1.504.506.1095.0%
Everygame1.534.605.5095.0%
MyBookie.ag1.534.405.6094.4%
GTbets1.544.305.5694.2%
Winamax (FR)1.524.505.3093.6%
PMU (FR)1.484.356.0093.3%
William Hill1.534.335.0092.2%
888sport1.504.205.0090.5%
Best odds1.584.806.50100.5%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)1.604.945.80

Best value bet

Ivory Coast (win)at Unibet (NL)

6.50+12.2% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Germany

63%

X

20%

Ivory Coast

17%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

Unibet (NL)Ivory Coast+12.2%
Unibet (SE)Ivory Coast+12.2%
BetfairIvory Coast+7.0%
LeoVegas (SE)Ivory Coast+5.3%
1xBetIvory Coast+4.4%
CoolbetIvory Coast+4.4%
PMU (FR)Ivory Coast+3.5%
BetOnline.agIvory Coast+3.5%

Market structure and consensus. The Pinnacle fair odd sets Germany at 1.60 for a home win, well above the odds displayed by most books (1.48–1.58). This compression reflects a market heavily tilted towards Germany. The draw hovers around 4.76–4.94, while Ivory Coast stands at a fair odd of 5.80. Overall TRJ values range from 90.5% (888sport) to 99.7% (Betfair), confirming variable but coherent margins.

Value on Ivory Coast: Notable signal. Odds for the Ivorian underdog expose potential value. Unibet (Netherlands and Sweden) quotes 6.50, or +12.2% above the Pinnacle fair odd (5.80). Betfair offers 6.20 (+7.0%), while LeoVegas (Sweden), 1xBet and Coolbet sit between +4.4% and +5.3%. This spread confirms bookmakers disagree on Ivory Coast's true probability. For a bettor seeking long-term value, the 6.50 odds at Unibet and 6.20 at Betfair represent potentially favourable entry points versus the market reference.

Surebet opportunity to verify. The optimal cumulative TRJ reaches 100.5%, surpassing the theoretical breakeven threshold. This results from combining: Germany win 1.58 (Betfair), Draw 4.80 (Betfair), Ivory Coast win 6.50 (Unibet NL). However, this situation is unstable: odds shift rapidly and the three best quotes come from different bookmakers. A bettor exploring a surebet must verify conditions live and confirm all odds remain available at commitment time.

Educational recommendations. Use the CalculaBet Value Bet calculator to validate each odd against your own fair odd reference. The TRJ calculator will precisely measure each bookmaker's implicit margin. If you consider a surebet, the CalculaBet Surebet calculator will confirm feasibility and optimal return. Remember these opportunities vanish quickly: betting limits may also apply to value odds.

Check for yourself

Refine the analysis with our calculators:

Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.