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Premier League

Ipswich Town vs Liverpool: Value on home win, optimal ROI at 99.4%

Published on September 3, 2026 at 10:01 AM · 15 d ago · Kick-off : Sep 4, 09:00 PM

Ipswich Town vs Liverpool

Ipswich Town hosts Liverpool in the Premier League on 4 September 2026. The market shows strong competitiveness: optimal ROI reaches 99.4% by selecting best odds per outcome. Several potential value opportunities emerge, particularly on a home win.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.5.424.891.5496.3%
Betfair5.905.001.5799.4%
Matchbook5.904.901.5799.0%
1xBet5.634.921.5798.3%
Unibet (SE)5.804.901.5597.9%
Coolbet5.804.901.5597.9%
Unibet (NL)5.804.901.5497.5%
Marathon Bet5.554.851.5596.9%
BetOnline.ag5.404.881.5596.6%
BetAnything5.404.881.5596.6%
Codere (IT)5.404.801.5295.1%
LeoVegas (SE)5.604.701.5194.9%
Betclic (FR)5.504.801.5094.6%
Nordic Bet5.804.401.5294.6%
Betsson5.804.401.5294.6%
Tipico5.704.601.5094.4%
GTbets5.404.661.5194.2%
Winamax (DE)5.104.901.5093.7%
William Hill5.004.401.5593.3%
PMU (FR)5.404.501.5093.1%
MyBookie.ag5.204.601.5092.9%
Winamax (FR)5.004.801.4992.6%
888sport5.004.401.5392.5%
Everygame5.004.501.5091.8%
Unibet (FR)5.104.501.4791.0%
Best odds5.905.001.5799.4%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)5.635.081.60

Best value bet

Ipswich Town (win)at Betfair

5.90+4.8% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Ipswich Town

18%

X

20%

Liverpool

63%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

BetfairIpswich Town+4.8%
MatchbookIpswich Town+4.8%
Nordic BetIpswich Town+3.1%
BetssonIpswich Town+3.1%
Unibet (SE)Ipswich Town+3.1%
Unibet (NL)Ipswich Town+3.1%
CoolbetIpswich Town+3.1%
TipicoIpswich Town+1.3%

Margin profile and competitiveness. The optimal ROI of 99.4% confirms a tight, liquid market, typical of a Premier League fixture. Pinnacle (96.3% ROI) sets the reference after margin removal. Spreads between books remain contained: ROI ranges from 91.0% (Unibet FR) to 99.4% (optimal combined), revealing distinct pricing strategies without flagrant anomalies.

Value on home win (Ipswich Town). Betfair and Matchbook both offer 5.90 for Ipswich Town, against a Pinnacle fair odd of 5.63. This +4.8% gap represents notable and attractive potential value for bettors seeking exposure to a home victory. Nordic Bet, Betsson, Unibet (SE) and Unibet (NL) quote 5.80, or +3.1% value — more moderate but consistent gains. These odds reflect heightened market confidence in Ipswich Town compared to Pinnacle's implied probability.

Draw and away win. The draw shows little value: best odds (5.00 on Betfair) fall slightly short of the fair odd of 5.08, reflecting elevated margin on this outcome. Liverpool benefits from tight odds clustering around 1.50–1.57; the best (1.57 with 1xBet and Betfair) marginally exceeds the fair odd of 1.60, but the gap remains marginal and barely exploitable.

Analysis recommendations. Use the Value Bet calculator to validate 5.90 selections on Ipswich Town if your own probability assessments warrant it. The 99.4% optimal ROI indicates best odds are very close to true probability: this market equilibrium leaves little room for systematic overbetting. Consult the ROI calculator to explore multi-outcome strategies or the Surebet calculator to verify live if stable opportunities emerge before kick-off, as odds can shift quickly.

Check for yourself

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.