← All analyses
Coupe du Monde

Ivory Coast vs Norway: Moderate value on the hosts, optimal TRJ at 100%

Published on June 29, 2026 at 10:01 AM · 6 d ago · Kick-off : Jun 30, 07:00 PM

Ivory Coast vs Norway

The Ivory Coast vs Norway match on June 30, 2026 (World Cup) attracts particular attention from bettors: the odds market reveals moderate value on the home win, with tight overall TRJ. Decoding the gaps between bookmakers and the Pinnacle reference.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.3.693.662.0496.7%
Matchbook4.003.652.0899.5%
Betfair4.003.652.0899.5%
1xBet3.773.752.0798.5%
Coolbet3.803.652.0697.8%
Unibet (SE)3.953.702.0097.7%
Unibet (NL)3.953.702.0097.7%
Betsson3.803.552.0596.8%
BetOnline.ag3.833.592.0296.7%
Marathon Bet3.703.682.0396.7%
Nordic Bet3.753.552.0596.5%
PMU (FR)3.703.702.0096.1%
Unibet (FR)3.603.552.0595.5%
Codere (IT)3.653.502.0595.5%
Tipico3.803.601.9795.4%
Everygame3.653.602.0095.1%
Betclic (FR)3.653.502.0395.0%
LeoVegas (SE)3.803.601.9594.9%
BetAnything3.603.602.0094.7%
MyBookie.ag3.603.462.0394.4%
Winamax (DE)3.553.602.0094.4%
GTbets3.663.531.9693.8%
Winamax (FR)3.503.552.0093.7%
William Hill3.603.402.0093.3%
888sport3.503.301.9590.8%
Best odds4.003.752.08100.3%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)3.823.792.11

Best value bet

Ivory Coast (win)at Matchbook

4.00+4.8% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Ivory Coast

26%

X

26%

Norway

47%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

MatchbookIvory Coast+4.8%
BetfairIvory Coast+4.8%
Unibet (SE)Ivory Coast+3.5%
Unibet (NL)Ivory Coast+3.5%

Value on the home favourite. Matchbook and Betfair offer 4.00 on Ivory Coast's victory, compared to Pinnacle's fair odds of 3.82. This +4.8% overround represents moderate value. Unibet (SE) and Unibet (NL) at 3.95 (+3.5%) remain attractive but less generous. Conversely, Winamax (FR) and William Hill lag at 3.50 and 3.60 respectively, displaying higher margins. Pinnacle itself at 3.69 offers a quote below its own fair odds – this remains normal for a low-margin book.

TRJ and margin: market compression. Most operators display TRJ between 94% and 99%, indicating dispersed liquidity. Matchbook and Betfair peak at 99.5%, while 888sport (90.8%) and Winamax (FR) at 93.7% are considerably more expensive in margin. The optimal TRJ combining the three best odds (1 = 4.00, draw = 3.75 via 1xBet, 2 = 2.08 via Matchbook) reaches 100.3% — a slight overage that warrants direct verification, as odds constantly fluctuate live. This minimal gap guarantees nothing and could vanish within seconds.

Tactical recommendation. If hunting the best Ivory Coast price, Matchbook or Betfair at 4.00 are your best starting points versus Pinnacle's reference. To genuinely measure this value, CalculaBet's Value Bet calculator helps you assess impact based on your own implicit probability. On the draw, 1xBet at 3.75 stands out slightly. For Norway, odds range from 1.95 to 2.08: Matchbook offers best at 2.08, but the differential versus Pinnacle (2.04) remains minimal.

Surebet to scan. The 100.3% optimal TRJ theoretically signals a surebet opportunity, but this setup persists only if all three odds coexist at the same instant. Verify via CalculaBet's Surebet calculator that the time lag between your placements doesn't split your edge. Quote shifts on a World Cup match can be rapid: confirm odds just before staking.

Check for yourself

Refine the analysis with our calculators:

Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.