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Ivory Coast vs Norway: home win at slight value on Matchbook and Betfair

Published on June 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM · 5 d ago · Kick-off : Jun 30, 07:00 PM

Ivory Coast vs Norway

This Ivory Coast vs Norway World Cup match shows significant variation across books: the home win ranges from 3.25 to 3.75, exposing different risk assessments. Pinnacle's fair odds stand at 3.67 for the home side, serving as market reference. Examining offers above this fair line and overall TRJ uncovers relevant angles for the data-driven bettor.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.3.593.502.1897.8%
Matchbook3.753.502.2099.3%
Betfair3.753.502.2099.3%
1xBet3.563.622.1898.4%
Coolbet3.603.502.1897.8%
Marathon Bet3.523.582.1697.4%
BetOnline.ag3.653.442.1597.1%
Unibet (SE)3.553.502.1697.0%
Unibet (NL)3.553.502.1697.0%
Unibet (FR)3.653.502.1096.5%
Nordic Bet3.553.452.1596.5%
Betsson3.553.452.1596.5%
Betclic (FR)3.553.502.1396.4%
BetAnything3.733.502.0596.0%
PMU (FR)3.403.502.1695.9%
Winamax (DE)3.403.502.1595.7%
Everygame3.453.402.1595.3%
Codere (IT)3.503.402.1395.3%
GTbets3.503.452.1195.3%
Tipico3.603.502.0595.1%
LeoVegas (SE)3.503.402.1295.1%
Winamax (FR)3.403.452.1094.3%
MyBookie.ag3.363.512.0994.3%
William Hill3.303.402.1093.2%
888sport3.253.302.0591.0%
Best odds3.753.622.20100.3%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)3.673.582.23

Best value bet

Ivory Coast (win)at Matchbook

3.75+2.1% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Ivory Coast

27%

X

28%

Norway

45%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

MatchbookIvory Coast+2.1%
BetfairIvory Coast+2.1%
BetAnythingIvory Coast+1.6%
1xBetX+1.1%

Odds landscape and TRJ. The 25 bookmakers examined display TRJ ranging from 91.0% (888sport, the most generous) to 99.3% (Matchbook and Betfair, the tightest). Unibet, Coolbet, and Pinnacle offer 97.8% TRJ, signaling a relatively balanced market. Margins thus vary little: the majority of books charge between 95% and 97.5%, typical of a major event with sufficient liquidity.

Value on home win (Ivory Coast). Pinnacle's fair odds stand at 3.67. Matchbook and Betfair offer 3.75 (+2.1% versus fair), BetAnything shows 3.73 (+1.6%). This value is marginal but measurable. Other books remain aligned or below (Unibet FR at 3.65, BetOnline.ag at 3.65). The low end comes from 888sport (3.25) and William Hill (3.30), suggesting pessimism on the home side. For a bettor seeking a long position on Ivory Coast, Matchbook or Betfair offer the best price.

Draw and away: fewer signals. On the draw (fair 3.58), 1xBet offers 3.62 (+1.1%), slight value. The away win (Norway, fair 2.23) reaches its maximum at 2.20 on Matchbook and Betfair, thus underpriced relative to fair. No value signal on Norway. The market appears less divided on these two outcomes.

Surebet signal: optimal TRJ at 100.3%. Combining best odds (1 at 3.75, draw at 3.62, 2 at 2.20), TRJ hits 100.3%, a marginal anomaly. This suggests a micro-arb opportunity, to verify in real-time as odds shift fast. Users of CalculaBet's TRJ and Surebet tools should explore this angle at match time.

Conclusion. The match is primarily interesting for moderate value on the home win at Matchbook or Betfair (3.75). It's a textbook case of minor dispersion: nothing spectacular, but content for bettors alert to small gaps. The generously priced books (888sport, Winamax FR with TRJ < 95%) remain less competitive.

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.