Market State and TRJ. The cumulative optimal TRJ is 100.1%, indicating a near-break-even scenario that must be verified live given natural quote volatility. Among books, Unibet (SE) shows the highest TRJ at 98.7%, while 888sport drops to 91.1%. Coolbet, Marathon Bet, Betfair, and Matchbook cluster around 97–99.6%, offering tighter compression and therefore less margin.
Value Analysis vs Pinnacle. The Pinnacle reference (fair odds after margin removal) indicates 1.95 for Japan, 3.65 for draw, and 4.71 for Sweden. Only the draw benefits from a value signal: Betfair and Matchbook offer 3.70 against 3.65 fair, or +1.4% potential value. This is marginal value, but it exists. On the other two outcomes (1 and 2), no book systematically beats the Pinnacle reference.
Best Odds by Outcome. 1xBet offers the best quote on Japan (1.93), Betfair and Matchbook on the draw (3.70 each), and Unibet (SE) on Sweden (4.75). These three odds, combined, produce the optimal TRJ of 100.1%—which remains to be confirmed live: quotes shift constantly and this alignment can erode quickly.
Recommendations. For a bettor seeking draw value, Betfair and Matchbook remain the options to prefer (3.70 vs 3.65 fair). On favorites (Japan) and outsiders (Sweden), value is absent or imperceptible. Use CalculaBet calculators (Value Bet, TRJ, Surebet) to verify these signals in real time: an optimal TRJ at 100.1% warrants direct verification, as the tolerance margin is minimal and quotes shift constantly.