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Coupe du Monde

Switzerland vs Algeria (World Cup): odds analysis and value opportunities

Published on July 2, 2026 at 10:01 AM · 3 d ago · Kick-off : Jul 3, 05:00 AM

Switzerland vs Algeria

The market shows very clear consensus on this match: Switzerland emerges as the favorite with odds ranging between 2.00 and 2.10 across almost all operators. However, the best odds by outcome reveal an interesting anomaly: an optimal TRJ of 100.3%, signaling a potential surebet opportunity to verify live. Additionally, marginal value appears on the draw.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.2.043.304.3797.8%
Matchbook2.103.304.4099.3%
Betfair2.103.304.4099.3%
1xBet2.073.414.1898.5%
Marathon Bet2.053.384.1597.6%
Unibet (NL)2.043.254.3597.3%
Unibet (SE)2.043.254.3597.3%
BetOnline.ag2.053.254.2897.2%
BetAnything2.053.254.2897.2%
Unibet (FR)1.983.304.4096.6%
Betclic (FR)2.003.304.2596.3%
Betsson2.003.304.2096.0%
Nordic Bet2.003.304.2096.0%
GTbets2.013.353.9495.3%
Codere (IT)2.033.254.0095.2%
Tipico2.003.204.2095.2%
LeoVegas (SE)2.003.154.2595.0%
Winamax (DE)2.003.304.0095.0%
Everygame1.953.204.3394.7%
Winamax (FR)2.003.254.0094.5%
MyBookie.ag2.023.203.9594.3%
PMU (FR)1.963.104.1092.9%
William Hill2.003.103.9092.7%
888sport2.003.103.8092.1%
Best odds2.103.414.40100.3%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)2.093.374.47

Best value bet

drawat 1xBet

3.41+1.1% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

Switzerland

48%

X

30%

Algeria

22%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

1xBetX+1.1%

Market consensus and operator TRJ. All 23 bookmakers show strong consistency on Switzerland odds (1 to 2.07), with average TRJ hovering around 95–97%. PMU (92.9%), William Hill (92.7%), and 888sport (92.1%) offer the most generous margins (lowest TRJ), while Matchbook and Betfair optimize their margins best at 99.4%, close to Pinnacle reference (97.8%). Unibet (FR) offers the best Algeria price (4.40), compared to PMU's lowest (4.10): a 7.3% variance, reflecting clear dispersion on this outcome.

Value and Pinnacle reference. Against Pinnacle fair odds (Switzerland 2.09, Draw 3.37, Algeria 4.47), the value signal is limited to marginal opportunity on the draw at 1xBet: odds 3.41 against fair 3.37, or +1.1% value. This potential gain remains very slight and reflects mainly fine market volatility. Switzerland odds (2.00–2.07) overall sit slightly below fair (2.09), indicating slight market overpricing on this result.

Potential surebet opportunity. Aggregating best odds by outcome (Matchbook/Betfair on Switzerland 2.10 + 1xBet on Draw 3.41 + Unibet FR on Algeria 4.40) generates optimal TRJ of 100.3%, symbolically exceeding 100%. This configuration suggests arbitrage potential, but verify immediately live: odds move constantly and the window may close within seconds. Use a surebet calculator to confirm real existence and viability before engaging.

Recommendation. For bettors seeking conventional value, opportunities remain limited near-term. The draw at 1xBet offers acceptable marginality if your personal model diverges from consensus. However, if a surebet strategy interests you, validate the 2.10–3.41–4.40 configuration via a TRJ tool before any stake, as this overload will vanish once books recalibrate.

Check for yourself

Refine the analysis with our calculators:

Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.