Suisse-Colombie (CDM 2026) : analyse value et TRJ des cotes

Bookmaker	1	X	2	RTP
Pinnacleréf.	3.63	3.13	2.31	97.3%
Matchbook	3.80	3.20	2.34	99.7%
Betfair	3.80	3.20	2.34	99.7%
1xBet	3.63	3.19	2.34	98.4%
Coolbet	3.70	3.15	2.30	97.8%
Unibet (SE)	3.65	3.15	2.30	97.5%
Unibet (NL)	3.65	3.15	2.30	97.5%
BetOnline.ag	3.65	3.13	2.29	97.1%
GTbets	3.58	3.13	2.31	96.9%
Nordic Bet	3.55	3.20	2.28	96.8%
Betsson	3.55	3.20	2.28	96.8%
Unibet (FR)	3.75	3.20	2.20	96.7%
Winamax (DE)	3.45	3.20	2.25	95.5%
Marathon Bet	3.52	3.10	2.27	95.5%
BetAnything	3.55	3.10	2.25	95.3%
Codere (IT)	3.50	3.10	2.26	95.2%
Tipico	3.50	3.10	2.25	95.0%
Everygame	3.50	3.10	2.25	95.0%
LeoVegas (SE)	3.55	3.05	2.25	94.9%
MyBookie.ag	3.48	3.06	2.24	94.3%
Winamax (FR)	3.40	3.15	2.20	93.8%
PMU (FR)	3.45	3.00	2.23	93.3%
William Hill	3.40	3.00	2.25	93.3%
888sport	3.30	2.90	2.20	90.7%
Best odds	3.80	3.20	2.34	99.7%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)	3.73	3.22	2.37	—

Bookmaker

RTP

Pinnacleréf.

3.63

3.13

2.31

97.3%

Matchbook

3.80

3.20

2.34

99.7%

Betfair

3.80

3.20

2.34

99.7%

1xBet

3.63

3.19

2.34

98.4%

Coolbet

3.70

3.15

2.30

97.8%

Unibet (SE)

3.65

3.15

2.30

97.5%

Unibet (NL)

3.65

3.15

2.30

97.5%

BetOnline.ag

3.65

3.13

2.29

97.1%

GTbets

3.58

3.13

2.31

96.9%

Nordic Bet

3.55

3.20

2.28

96.8%

Betsson

3.55

3.20

2.28

96.8%

Unibet (FR)

3.75

3.20

2.20

96.7%

Winamax (DE)

3.45

3.20

2.25

95.5%

Marathon Bet

3.52

3.10

2.27

95.5%

BetAnything

3.55

3.10

2.25

95.3%

Codere (IT)

3.50

3.10

2.26

95.2%

Tipico

3.50

3.10

2.25

95.0%

Everygame

3.50

3.10

2.25

95.0%

LeoVegas (SE)

3.55

3.05

2.25

94.9%

MyBookie.ag

3.48

3.06

2.24

94.3%

Winamax (FR)

3.40

3.15

2.20

93.8%

PMU (FR)

3.45

3.00

2.23

93.3%

William Hill

3.40

3.00

2.25

93.3%

888sport

3.30

2.90

2.20

90.7%

Best odds

3.80

3.20

2.34

99.7%

Fair odds (Pinnacle)

3.73

3.22

2.37

—

Margin overview: The bookmaker portfolio shows an optimal TRJ of 99.7% by combining best odds (Matchbook and Betfair at 3.80 on Switzerland, Unibet FR at 3.20 on the draw, 1xBet at 2.34 on Colombia). This compression signals a well-balanced market with few obvious arbitrage gaps. Most books maintain TRJ between 93% and 98%, reflecting standard commercial margins.

Value on a Swiss win: Matchbook and Betfair stand out with 3.80 odds on Switzerland, representing +1.8% value versus Pinnacle's 3.73 fair odd. This premium remains light but constitutes the sole notable signal in this fixture. Other platforms cluster tightly between 3.40 and 3.75, with LeoVegas (3.55) and Unibet SE (3.65) offering moderate alternatives.

Draw and Colombia underpriced: The draw struggles above 3.20 (Unibet FR cap) versus Pinnacle's 3.22 reference. Colombia reaches only 2.34 at 1xBet and Betfair against a fair odd of 2.37, revealing slight overround on the outsider. Both outcomes lack tangible value.

Methodological takeaway: The overall TRJ remains compressed (93–98% for most books), leaving little systematic room for value hunting. A Value Bet calculator can confirm the marginal opportunity at Matchbook or Betfair on Switzerland (+1.8%), but it remains minor. Cross-checking via a TRJ calculator is prudent before action, as bookmaker odds shift regularly.

Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.

Switzerland vs Colombia: Minimal value on home favourites

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Check for yourself