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USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: Moderate value on the underdog, optimal TRJ at 100%

Published on July 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM · 4 d ago · Kick-off : Jul 2, 02:00 AM

USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

The USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina match (World Cup, 2 July 2026) shows clear consensus favouring the American favourite, with average TRJ around 95%. Several bookmakers nevertheless offer interesting odds above the Pinnacle reference, especially on the underdog and the draw. An optimal TRJ at 100% signals no guaranteed surebet, but good value opportunities remain.

Bookmaker1X2RTP
Pinnacleréf.1.424.809.0097.7%
Betfair1.425.009.6099.2%
Matchbook1.425.009.4099.0%
1xBet1.435.108.4598.7%
Marathon Bet1.415.058.4097.4%
Unibet (FR)1.375.109.5097.0%
Betclic (FR)1.385.009.2596.8%
BetOnline.ag1.385.009.2596.8%
Nordic Bet1.424.758.3096.6%
Betsson1.424.758.3096.6%
Unibet (NL)1.385.009.0096.5%
Unibet (SE)1.385.009.0096.5%
Everygame1.404.758.5095.9%
BetAnything1.364.989.2595.8%
Codere (IT)1.404.907.8095.5%
Tipico1.374.908.5095.1%
Winamax (DE)1.395.007.2594.6%
MyBookie.ag1.394.807.6094.4%
LeoVegas (SE)1.364.808.5094.2%
GTbets1.384.837.5293.9%
PMU (FR)1.364.708.5093.8%
Winamax (FR)1.384.907.2593.8%
William Hill1.364.608.0092.8%
888sport1.364.507.5091.7%
Best odds1.435.109.60100.0%
Fair odds (Pinnacle)1.454.919.21

Best value bet

Bosnia & Herzegovina (win)at Betfair

9.60+4.2% vs Pinnacle

Implied probabilities (Pinnacle, no margin)

USA

69%

X

20%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

11%

Value signals vs Pinnacle

Books offering odds above the Pinnacle reference (potential value):

BetfairBosnia & Herzegovina+4.2%
Unibet (FR)X+3.8%
1xBetX+3.8%
Unibet (FR)Bosnia & Herzegovina+3.1%
Marathon BetX+2.8%
MatchbookBosnia & Herzegovina+2.0%
BetfairX+1.8%
Unibet (NL)X+1.8%

Odds landscape and TRJ
The market converges strongly around USA dominance. TRJs range from 91.7% (888sport) to 99.2% (Betfair), reflecting heterogeneous margins. Betfair and Matchbook display the most generous TRJs (~99%), while 888sport and William Hill tighten their margins further. Pinnacle remains the reference (TRJ 97.7%), confirming its role as a market barometer with a USA quote of 1.42.

Value signals: where to look
Three outcomes concentrate value opportunities. On Bosnia & Herzegovina, Betfair peaks at 9.60 (+4.2% vs Pinnacle fair odds of 9.21), the best available rate for the underdog. This value is moderate but tangible and warrants verification via CalculaBet's Value Bet calculator. On the draw, Unibet (FR) and 1xBet offer 5.10 (+3.8% vs 4.91), while Marathon Bet provides 5.05 (+2.8%), offering alternatives to fair odds. On USA, no book significantly exceeds the Pinnacle reference (1.45); best rates remain at 1.43 (1xBet), slightly below.

Optimal TRJ and arbitrage opportunities
Combining the three best odds (1xBet on USA at 1.43, Unibet (FR) on draw at 5.10, Betfair on Bosnia & Herzegovina at 9.60), the optimal TRJ reaches exactly 100%. This means no classic surebet exists at present. However, this configuration very close to 100% merits rapid live verification via CalculaBet's Surebet calculator: odds move fast, and a temporary arbitrage window could open.

Recommendations
For value bettors: Betfair offers the best value on Bosnia & Herzegovina (+4.2%), and Unibet (FR)/1xBet on the draw (+3.8%) present quotes above Pinnacle fair odds. These values are moderate but interesting for players seeking odds beyond market consensus. Check these opportunities with CalculaBet's TRJ calculator to contextualise gains on your bankroll. If odds shift, immediately consult the Surebet calculator to capture any emerging arbitrage.

Check for yourself

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Odds change constantly. The fair odd is the market probability after removing the margin, not a certainty. Always check live before betting.